Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Korupsi Sedang Menghancurkan Malaysia - Bayang-Bayang Indonesia Semakin Hampir

Di bawah ada sebuah artikel dari ASIA SENTINEL. Artikel menyatakan bahawa tahap simpanan wang asing telah jatuh dengan banyaknya pada tahun 2009.

Mengikut penulis artikel ini, ia adalah kerana peniaga2 yang berduit di Malaysia sudah tidak mahu melabur dalam negeri lagi. Mereka membawa wang mereka keluar negeri dan melabur di negara-negara lain.

Juga, wang Petronas dan Maybank sudah tidak lagi mengalir dalam negara tetapi luar negara dalam projek2 yang kita rakyat Malaysia banyak tidak tahu.

Seharusnya rakyat Malaysia harus mempersoalkan kenapa hidup kita makin susah, kos hidup making tinggi, kerja makin susah nak dapat, gaji kita makin kecik dan taraf hidup tidak berubah. Sedangkan harga minyak dan komoditi lain seperti kelapa sawit dan getah lebih tinggi dari 10-15 tahun yang lepas?

Seharusnya ekonomi Malaysia semakin aktif dan sehat dengan kenaikan harga komoditi yang dua kali ganda lebih tinggi dari 10-15 tahun lepas.

Namun, keadaan di Malaysia semakin menyedihkan. Faktor utama mengapa ekonomi Malaysia lembab adalah kerana KORUPSI.

UMNO gagal membentras korupsi kerana UMNO adalah BAPAK KORUPSI. Oleh kerana tahap korupsi semakin tinggi, dan bentuk bisness sekarang lebih berbentuk “perkhidmatan” yang tidak mempunyai asset yang tinggi, maka pelabur dalam negeri tidak mahu melabur dalam Malaysia.

Dengan membayar rasuah yang semakin tinggi, keuntungan yang mereka bakal dapat itu menjadi semakin rendah. Hasilnya, sebelum mereka mulakan bisnes mereka lagi, mereka sudah kata tidak berbaloi untuk meneruskan pelaburan mereka.

Akhirnya, pelabur2 domestik ini membawa wang mereka ke luar negara dan melabur di negara-negara lain yang tahap korupsi rendah.

Penghabisan sekali :
a. Ekonomi tidak berkembang
b. Kekayaan Negara tidak mengalir pada rakyat
c. Kehidupan rakyat makin tertekan dan tersepit

Semuanya angkara UMNO yang mempertahankan amalan korupsi dan salah guna kuasa. UMNO TIDAK AKAN DAPAT MENGAWAL KORUPSI kerana UMNO ADALAH PARTI KORUP.

Jadilah kita nanti seperti Indonesia dimana 1.5 juta gadis2 mereka terpaksa melacurkan diri untuk sesuap nasi. Nauzubillah min zalik.

Tulang Besi
Money leaves the country on an unprecedented scale

Often with the exodus of money goes an exodus of talent as highly skilled persons disadvantaged by race or, as in the case of some Malays, disgusted by local corruption or primitive religious authorities, take themselves and their capital to Australia, Canada, India, China, etc.

Asia Sentinel

Churches are not the only thing to have been going up in flames in Malaysia. Take a look at the nation's foreign exchange reserves. They fell by close to 25 percent during 2009 according to investment bank UBS even though the country continued to run a huge surplus on the current account of its balance of payments.

Says UBS: "Question: which Asian country had the biggest FX losses in 2009?" The answer is Malaysia and by a very large margin; we estimate that official reserves fell by well more than one quarter on a valuation-adjusted basis". It describes the situation as "bizarre" and contrasts Malaysia with other countries with large current account surpluses – Thailand, China, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong – which have seen their reserves increase – as should be expected.

In short there has been an exodus of money from Malaysia on a scale which surpasses that which occurred during the Asian crisis. Nor is this just a mirage. The decline is also reflected in a sudden decline in base money supply – even while, thanks to Bank Negara, broader M2 has continued to grow modestly.

Who is responsible for this massive outflow? And where has it gone? The questions cannot be answered from the data and probably will not be by a government that knows its own state-controlled enterprises, headed by Petronas, may probably be responsible for part of it. The more certain reason however is the outflow of local private capital has been taking place on an unprecedented scale in response to political instability, massive official corruption and discrimination against non-Malays.

This capital bloodletting has as yet attracted little attention because Malaysia's foreign debt levels had declined dramatically since the Asian crisis and its reserves reached very healthy levels. So the outflow has not disturbed the financial markets, and Bank Negara has easily been able to keep interest rates low and the currency strong.

But unlike 1998, when the exodus of hot foreign money was a major contributor to the crisis, foreigners cannot be blamed. There is little speculative interest in the ringgit and the Malaysian bourse has rather fallen off the map as far as foreign institutional money is concerned. The BRICs, India, China, Russia, Brazil have taken the merging market lead once dominated by Southeast Asia.

Nor is there much evidence that the Middle East money which was supposed to be flowing into Muslim Malaysia, into holiday apartments or Johor's massive Iskandar development zone, has been much in evidence. Malaysia's one recent success, the development of its sukuk (Islamic bond) market may have caused more capital outflow than inflow. At any rate any overall net inflow of foreign capital whether into bonds, equities, factories or real estate has been dwarfed by the exodus of Malaysian money.

The latter is reflected in the weakness of private sector investment, which now trails public investment. Indeed it explains why the economy remains weak despite very healthy prices for most of Malaysia's commodity exports. The nation has been running a current account surplus of more than 10 percent of gross domestic product for the past decade and hit about 17 percent of GDP in the year just ended.

Initially this surplus was needed to pay down debt accumulated during the mid-1990s Mahathir boom years and to rebuild foreign exchange reserves to healthy levels.

But subsequently it became simply a consequence of the weakness of private investment. Domestic investors were discouraged by the corrupt and warped system and foreigners moved to China and elsewhere. GDP growth has become ever reliant on government stimulus – again racially biased in its allocation - financed by a persistently large budget deficit.

Meanwhile, publicly controlled capital has been rushing overseas. Petronas has been spending its billions in profits around the world as it attempts to become a major global player – at the expense of Malaysian citizenry in general and the oil and gas producing states in particular. Other government-controlled entities such as Malayan Banking Bhd have been bidding top dollar for foreign assets – such as Bank International Indonesia.

Often with the exodus of money goes an exodus of talent as highly skilled persons disadvantaged by race or, as in the case of some Malays, disgusted by local corruption or primitive religious authorities, take themselves and their capital to Australia, Canada, India, China, etc.

The 2009 reserves loss may have had some specific cause which will not be repeated. But it has merely served to underline a dismal trend which has been in evidence for the best part of a decade. Malaysia has so far been saved from itself by the commodity price gains of the past five years – with even the late 2008 collapse now largely reversed. Oil and palm oil may be off their peaks but both are now double their prices of five years ago.

It is better not to imagine what will happen to Malaysia if prices collapse to 2004 levels and stay there. Better now to address the real reasons behind capital outflow and lack of private investment.

2 comments:

  1. Cuma pencacai umno saja percaya malaysia ni negara yang maju. Pasalnya juak-juak umno ni macam katak bawah tempurung. hatta untuk pegi ke luar negara pun belum biasa.

    Kalau nak tahu malaysia ni 20 tahun kebelakang dari negara dunia pertama, yang peliknya minyak mencurah-curah tapi rakyatnya hidup papa kedana.

    Memang malaysia akan senasib dengan Indonesia kerana kepercayaan khurafat yang masih terpaku dan sedia ada pada penyokong dan pencacai umno yang mengatakan bahawa umno saja yang tahu memerintah, orang lain semuanya bodoh.

    Rezeki parti umno yang bagi bukan dari Allah. Sebab itu negara ini sedang di landa malapetaka ekonomi yang dahsyat sebab orang melayu terlalu bodoh dan tertipu dengan perbuatan syirik pemimpin-pemimpin umno.

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  2. Dan lagi..sikap puak puak PAS/PKR yang suka membuat kacau dan menakutkan pelabur untuk melabur di negara ini....dan inilah matlamat sebenar puak puak pembangkang....supaya senang untuk menjatuhkan kerajaan yang ada.

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